{"id":557,"date":"2023-02-04T10:12:00","date_gmt":"2023-02-04T07:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/?p=557"},"modified":"2023-02-12T03:15:12","modified_gmt":"2023-02-12T00:15:12","slug":"enflasyonun-ein-altina-inmesi-dusuk-olasilik","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/2023\/02\/04\/enflasyonun-ein-altina-inmesi-dusuk-olasilik\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cEnflasyonun, %45\u2019in alt\u0131na inmesi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131k\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full td-img-style-shadow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"600\" src=\"http:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/doc-dr-atilla-cifter-altinbas-universitesi.jpg\" alt=\"Enflasyon de\u011ferlendirmesi\" class=\"wp-image-558\" srcset=\"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/doc-dr-atilla-cifter-altinbas-universitesi.jpg 800w, https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/doc-dr-atilla-cifter-altinbas-universitesi-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/doc-dr-atilla-cifter-altinbas-universitesi-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/doc-dr-atilla-cifter-altinbas-universitesi-696x522.jpg 696w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00dc\u0130K Ocak ay\u0131nda T\u00fcketici Fiyatlar\u0131 Endeksi\u2019ni (T\u00dcFE) y\u00fczde 6,65, Yurt \u0130\u00e7i \u00dcretici Fiyatlar\u0131 Endeksi\u2019ni (\u00dcFE) %4,15 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. B\u00f6ylece y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda T\u00dcFE %57,68\u2019e, \u00dcFE ise %86,41\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Alt\u0131nba\u015f \u00dcniversitesi \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi, Ekonomist Do\u00e7. Dr. Atilla \u00c7ifter, ayl\u0131k fiyatlarda y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen hem t\u00fcketici hem de \u00fcretici enflasyonunda y\u0131ll\u0131k olarak gerilemesinin baz etkisi nedeniyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini belirtti. Ancak %45\u2019in alt\u0131na inmesinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ihtimal oldu\u011funa de\u011findi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-white-color has-text-color has-background\" style=\"background-color:#008b8b\">Do\u00e7. Dr. Atilla \u00c7ifter, ocak ay\u0131 verilerini de\u011ferlendirirken, \u0130TO\u2019nun da Ocak ay\u0131nda \u0130stanbul \u00dccretliler Ge\u00e7inme Endeksini ayl\u0131k %5,94, Toptan E\u015fya Fiyat Endeksi\u2019ni ise ayl\u0131k 5,53 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. T\u00dcFE\u2019de fiyat gerilemesinin ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 tek grup eksinin %1,53 ile giyim ve ayakkab\u0131da ger\u00e7ekle\u015firken, sa\u011fl\u0131k %18,35 ile rekor d\u00fczeyde artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-plain has-large-font-size td_quote td_quote_left is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-cyan-bluish-gray-color has-text-color\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:600;text-transform:none\">&#8220;Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon baz etkisi ile geriliyor&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Ayl\u0131k fiyatlarda y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen hem t\u00fcketici hem de \u00fcretici enflasyonunda y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda gerileme baz etkisi nedeniyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fine vurgulayan Atilla \u00c7ifter, \u201cAral\u0131k 2022\u2019de ba\u015flayan baz etkisi ile y\u0131ll\u0131k gerileme azalarak devam etse de bu etkinin y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonu %45 alt\u0131na \u00e7ekebilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.\u201d diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-plain has-large-font-size td_quote td_quote_left is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-cyan-bluish-gray-color has-text-color\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:600;text-transform:none\">&#8220;Olas\u0131 bir d\u00f6viz kuru \u015foku T\u00dcFE&#8217;yi Aral\u0131k 2021&#8217;deki gibi art\u0131rabilir&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p>Atilla \u00c7ifter\u2019e g\u00f6re, bu veriler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE\u2019nin de uzun s\u00fcredir s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclen uluslararas\u0131 rezervleri eritme politikas\u0131 bazl\u0131 sabit d\u00f6viz kuruna ra\u011fmen %6,65 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi enflasyon ile m\u00fccadele a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan endi\u015fe verici. Sabit d\u00f6viz kuru politikas\u0131n\u0131n mevcut \u00f6demeler dengesi yap\u0131s\u0131 ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu. D\u00f6viz kurundaki olas\u0131 bir \u015fokun ise T\u00dcFE\u2019yi Aral\u0131k 2021\u2019dekine benzer bir \u015fekilde artt\u0131rabilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Son olarak, enflasyonun baz etkisi ile gerilemesinin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getirererk, \u201cEnflasyon ile m\u00fccadelede para ve maliye politikalar\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f gerekiyor. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck politika faizi \u0131srar\u0131 enflasyonun en \u00f6nemli silah\u0131n\u0131 etkisiz k\u0131larken, parasal geni\u015fleme uygulamalar\u0131 enflasyon ile m\u00fccadelede maliye politikas\u0131n\u0131 etkisizle\u015ftiriyor.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmelerini yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00dc\u0130K Ocak ay\u0131nda T\u00fcketici Fiyatlar\u0131 Endeksi\u2019ni (T\u00dcFE) y\u00fczde 6,65, Yurt \u0130\u00e7i \u00dcretici Fiyatlar\u0131 Endeksi\u2019ni (\u00dcFE) %4,15 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. B\u00f6ylece y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda T\u00dcFE %57,68\u2019e, \u00dcFE ise %86,41\u2019e geriledi. Alt\u0131nba\u015f \u00dcniversitesi \u00d6\u011fretim \u00dcyesi, Ekonomist Do\u00e7. Dr. Atilla \u00c7ifter, ayl\u0131k fiyatlarda y\u00fcksek art\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen hem t\u00fcketici hem de \u00fcretici enflasyonunda y\u0131ll\u0131k olarak gerilemesinin baz etkisi nedeniyle ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini belirtti. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":558,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[54,49],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-557","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ekonomi","8":"category-gostergeler"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=557"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":564,"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/557\/revisions\/564"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/558"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=557"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=557"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/probatio.com.tr\/testicaret\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=557"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}